1. Insights

September 2026 Market Trends Report

Hiring momentum faded in September, with employers adding just 29,000 jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Growth was concentrated in healthcare and select industrial sectors, while federal government, information, finance, professional and business services shed jobs. 

The result is a labor market that’s increasingly moving sideways rather than forward. Unemployment and labor force participation remained relatively flat, reinforcing the low-hire, low-fire environment that has defined much of 2026. For employers, slower economic growth and continued uncertainty are making every hiring decision even more deliberate.

At the same time, more workers are entering the job market. Labor force participation increased to 61.8% in September, indicating renewed workforce engagement. However, that growth has been modest and is not evenly distributed across industries. Employers hiring for skilled trades, industrial and technical roles continue to face talent shortages, even as the broader candidate pool expands.

Demographics are adding another layer to the challenge. An aging domestic workforce is shrinking the pool of available workers just as employers are becoming more cautious about adding headcount. 

Indeed Hiring Lab estimates that the U.S. labor force has contracted by 700,000 workers in 2026, pointing to a labor market in which hires and payroll employment may remain lower than economists have historically come to expect, as aging demographics and fewer foreign-born workers limit workforce growth. The result is a labor market that may look fundamentally different from previous cycles: fewer available workers, slower hiring activity and increased competition for critical skills.

The question, then, is no longer simply when hiring will pick back up. It’s whether this slower, more selective hiring environment is becoming the new reality, and what employers and job seekers will need to do differently if it is.

 
 

Jobs Market Overview: September 2026

4.2%

Overall unemployment rate

The unemployment rate increased slightly from 4.1% last month, remaining relatively low by historical standards.

+29k

Jobs added

September’s job growth undershot economists’ expectations, with moderate growth concentrated across healthcare and select industrial sectors.

61.9%

Labor force participation rate (LFPR)

Labor force participation edged up from its first increase of the year last month (61.6%), offering a welcome sign of renewed engagement in the workforce. 

 

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment Situation Summary 

Industry Employment Trends

OVERALL ECONOMY
+29k 

Monthly job change

(+496k year over year)

Industry Monthly Job Change YOY Difference
Manufacturing +9k +40k
Automotive +1.6k +1.6k
Warehousing & Storage -4.1k -21.6k
Architectural & Engineering +5.8k +45k
Construction +11k +109k

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics' Economic News Release

Manufacturing Spotlight  

"The skilled trades gap is nothing new. Manufacturers have spent years competing for a shrinking pool of hard-to-find talent. The old playbook: post the job, find the right résumé, and hire, is no longer enough.

Closing the gap means rethinking the talent cycle from the ground up: where manufacturers look for people, how they spot potential and how they develop that potential into the skills their businesses need. The manufacturers that play the long game won’t just compete for skilled workers who are already in the market. They’ll start creating new pathways for people to acquire the skills the industry needs for the future."

Stanley Johnson

Manufacturing & Logistics Business Development Director


 

Sector-by-Sector News: September 2026

 MANUFACTURING JOBS REPORT

Month-over-month jobs change: +9,000

Year-over-year jobs change: +40,000

September Manufacturing PMI: 54.5%*

*A PMI reading above 50% suggests economic activity is expanding

Manufacturers are entering the final stretch of the year with an unusual mix of momentum and caution. Demand remains elevated in several sectors, but companies are increasingly forced to navigate the costs, labor constraints and trade uncertainty standing between strong demand and actual output. 

In some corners of manufacturing, business is moving faster than expected. Respondents to the Institute for Supply Management’s PMI survey report that orders have surged in semiconductors, electronics and government-related markets, while some manufacturers report backlogs nearly doubling.  

Ironically, this strength has exposed a problem: Manufacturers do not always have the people or materials they need to keep pace. Severe worker shortages are limiting production at some facilities, while steel shortages are creating additional delays.  

For now, manufacturers are adapting: negotiating more aggressively with suppliers, diversifying sourcing, consolidating supply bases and prioritizing productivity and efficiency investments. But with labor, materials and trade policy all moving targets, the ability to respond quickly may prove just as important as the ability to produce. 

CONSTRUCTION JOBS REPORT
 
Construction jobs added (month over month): +11,000  
 
Construction jobs added (year over year): +109,000  
 
Construction hiring remained resilient in September, with employers adding 11,000 jobs, extending the industry’s steady run of employment gains. While demand remains elevated for workers tied to data center development and major infrastructure projects, hiring needs are softening across other segments.
 
That tension is becoming harder to ignore. ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu reported: “The share of contractors that intend to cut their staffing levels over the next six months rose to 12.3% in August, the most in any month since December.” 
 
At the same time, contractors are sounding the alarm regarding the availability of skilled workers. The growing number of open positions, now at their highest level in nearly two years, suggests that finding qualified talent is once again a significant challenge for the construction industry.
 
Massive investments in data centers and power infrastructure are creating pockets of intense hiring activity, even as conditions vary elsewhere in the industry. Contractors are still contending with a limited supply of workers who have the specialized skills to meet demand. Meanwhile, fewer layoffs suggest employers are reluctant to let go of the talent they already have, adding another layer of pressure to an increasingly competitive labor market.
 
The result is a construction workforce caught between two forces: uneven demand and persistent talent shortages. As investment accelerates in the infrastructure needed to support the next wave of growth, having enough skilled workers to turn those projects into reality could prove just as important as having the capital to build them. 
 
SUPPLY CHAIN & LOGISTICS JOBS REPORT 
 
Warehousing & Storage jobs added (month over month): -4,100  
 
Warehousing & Storage jobs added (year over year): -21,600   
 
September Logistics Managers’ Index: 70.2* 
 
*A reading above 50 indicates expanding logistics. 
 
With momentum building and pressure mounting, the logistics sector is headed full steam into Q4. The September Logistics Managers’ Index climbed to 70.2, marking one of its strongest readings in recent years. The acceleration comes as inventory levels pick up, putting renewed pressure on storage networks and driving inventory costs higher. 
 
That buildup is creating a tougher environment for warehousing. Available capacity has contracted sharply, making space increasingly difficult to secure as more goods move through the supply chain. The shift may reflect a change in how companies are positioning themselves for the holiday season. Retailers reduced inventories earlier in the year and are now replenishing more cautiously rather than flooding stores with merchandise ahead of holiday demand. 
 
Transportation networks are facing a similar squeeze. Capacity continues to contract while transportation prices are surging, reflecting the growing imbalance between available capacity and demand. 
 
Taken together, the latest data points to a logistics market under mounting pressure. Inventories are building, storage space is tightening and transportation costs remain elevated, a combination that could make moving goods increasingly expensive as companies head into the holiday season. 

Let's Talk

We’d love to discuss your staffing or resource management challenges. 

Add Skilled Professionals To Your Team